Horse racing suggestions: Wolverhampton and Southwell, 18th November
Three-year-olds owned by the Queen and Sheikh Mohammed clash on the Black Country sands at present and one of the royal runners is our Monday nap wager.
Three meetings have survived the assault of the elements so we’ll begin the model new week with leap racing at Plumpton, whereas they go on the flat at Wolverhampton and Southwell. Unfortunately, Leicester has turn out to be the newest casualty of the moist weather and was abandoned as a outcome of waterlogging.
With the bottom more probably to be very testing at Plumpton, nothing actually stands out on their seven-race card, so our betting tips go on the 2 all weather tracks.
Debutante Mountain can hit the heights
Arguably probably the most interesting flat race of the day is the novice stakes at Wolverhampton by which eight three-year-olds are set to face the starter over the extended mile.
The market is more probably to be dominated by The Queen’s Desert Caravan, an Oasis Dream colt whose dam is a half-sister to the excellent Derby winner, Sinndarr.
The William Haggas-trained colt made the proper begin to his profession when staying on properly inside the final furlong to attain on debut at Newcastle over the straight mile, really getting the grasp of issues within the closing levels.
It’s not beyond the bounds of risk that Desert Caravan would possibly show to be first rate, but he will have to be fairly smart if he’s to concede 12lb to a potentially good filly in the shape of Godolphin’s White Mountain (Wolverhampton 1:50).
Trained by Saeed bin Suroor, who has an impressive 32% strike-rate along with his three-year-olds at this track, this daughter of good miler Raven’s Pass is a half-sister to no less a horse than the multiple Group 1 winner Ribchester.
Making her debut so late within the day suggests she might need been slow maturing or had a training problem, however a win for this 3/1 shot would seriously enhance her paddock worth and, given connections’ document right here, she could get the higher of the argument in receipt of a lot weight. It guarantees to be an excellent race.
Furzig fancied to go well
The penultimate race at Wolverhampton is a aggressive handicap over nearly a mile-and-a-quarter. There are a lot who’ve an opportunity on paper, however Richard Fahey’s Furzig (Wolverhampton 3:20) would possibly well run higher than his odds point out.
The suspicion is that this gelded son of Monsieur Bond is best on an artificial floor than on turf, and he has gained two of his five begins so far on this sphere.
Having scored as a juvenile over 7f at Lingfield, he added to his tally when comfortably landing a 1m2f Newcastle handicap in July off a mark of eighty.
A very respectable sixth the time after in a red-hot £75,000 handicap at York’s Ebor meeting, the Yorkshire-based four-year-old returned from a seven-week break and virtually actually discovered the soft floor in opposition to him at York last month, but that should have blown the cobwebs away.
With the very proficient apprentice Sean Davis claiming a useful 3lb in this Class three event, it would come as no shock to see Furzig run into a spot no less than. He seems truthful value at present odds of 12/1.
Tagur definitely worth the wait in finale
It’s probably going to be fairly chilly by the shut of play at Southwell, but a speculative curiosity on Tagur (Southwell 7:45), Kevin Ryan’s only runner at the meeting, might well show a profit.
Although he’s carried out most of his profitable over a mile, they can be expected to go off hard and quick in this seven furlong apprentice handicap, and within the deep Southwell Fibresand it’s going to feel like no much less than a mile for most of these.
Tagur has a great report at this venue having scored twice here over a mile and been second a couple of times as well. He won final November off a mark of sixty seven and races tonight off a 9lb decrease mark after a fruitless time on turf this summer.
There was a bit to love about his newest effort although that came following a 50-day autumn break the place he faded a furlong out at Newcastle having led for a lot of the greatest way. That run may have put him spot on for this race.
Young rider Harriett Lees has partnered Tagur in his last two begins so shall be snug on him and again on his most popular surface the pair ought to give a great account of themselves. That seems to have been reflected in his odds being reduced from 12/1 to 15/2 overnight however he remains the proper aspect of evens for each-way backers.